Measure the economy
Build a dated baseline of employment by industry and occupation, retaining missing and suppressed values.
CAIA Research / AI & the economy
AI and work
in the Caribbean
Every economy is made of people doing tasks. We are studying how those tasks could change, country by country.
Caribbean AI Association. First country study: Jamaica, October 2026.
THE FIRST STUDYJamaica’s industries
Jamaica’s industries
and occupations
Jamaica / Preliminary study
AI, jobs and Jamaica’s economy
Follow a job from its everyday tasks to industry employment, wages and national economic scenarios.
1.42mpeople employed · July 2026↗
02 / A REGIONAL RESEARCH PROGRAMME
All Caribbean nations.
Each on its own terms.
Jamaica is the starting point. Future studies will use local labour statistics, industry structures and adoption evidence. Comparable methods; country-specific conclusions.
01Antigua and BarbudaStudy planned
02The BahamasStudy planned
03BarbadosStudy planned
04BelizeStudy planned
05CubaStudy planned
06DominicaStudy planned
07Dominican RepublicStudy planned
08GrenadaStudy planned
09GuyanaStudy planned
10HaitiStudy planned
11JamaicaExplore study ↗12Saint Kitts and NevisStudy planned
13Saint LuciaStudy planned
14Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesStudy planned
15SurinameStudy planned
16Trinidad and TobagoStudy planned
Initial country index. Territories can be added as the programme expands. Planned studies have no published estimates or release dates.
03 / THE METHODStart with tasks.
Start with tasks.
Keep the evidence visible.
Examine the work
Distinguish human-led tasks, augmentation, automation candidates and new work. Validate imported task examples locally.
Test possible futures
Vary adoption and adjustment assumptions. Report economic outcomes, sensitivity and limits together.
Inspired by Anthropic’s task-based economic scenarios. This is an independent CAIA adaptation; it is not an Anthropic forecast or partnership.